Wyoming vs Idaho 9/22/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wyoming winning 40% of simulations, and Idaho 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wyoming commits fewer turnovers in 57% of simulations and they go on to win 50% when they take care of the ball. Idaho wins 79% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ghaali Muhammad is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Dominique Blackman is averaging 299 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (27% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.

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